Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$808.74
$12.52
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.4Β’ | $518.97 | $496.43 | -$9.27 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.4Β’ | $251.8 | β | -$252.2 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.4Β’ | $250.26 | $496.43 | +$242.93 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 67.2Β’ | $115.83 | $142 | +$26.18 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 56.3Β’ | $72.89 | $82 | +$9.11 | 58% 3986-2906 (6892) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $75.55 | $76.31 | +$0.76 | 98% 4434-91 (4525) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.9Β’ | $16.48 | β | -$16.48 | 36% 1471-2611 (4082) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $11.99 | $12 | +$0.01 | 53% 1576-1397 (2973) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.5Β’ | $5.1 | β | -$5.1 | 42% 2048-2798 (4846) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 28Β’ | $1.96 | β | -$1.96 | 70% 1807-771 (2578) |
Invested
$518.97
Value
$496.43
PnL
-$9.27
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Both legs:
Invested
$115.83
Value
$142
PnL
+$26.18
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
Invested
$72.89
Value
$82
PnL
+$9.11
Record
58%
3986-2906 (6892)
Invested
$75.55
Value
$76.31
PnL
+$0.76
Record
98%
4434-91 (4525)
Invested
$16.48
Value
β
PnL
-$16.48
Record
36%
1471-2611 (4082)
Invested
$11.99
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.01
Record
53%
1576-1397 (2973)
Invested
$5.1
Value
β
PnL
-$5.1
Record
42%
2048-2798 (4846)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$1.96
Value
β
PnL
-$1.96
Record
70%
1807-771 (2578)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $142
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $82
hoodquant
Down β $76.31
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0
0x50f7
Down β $12
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0

BoneOhio
CTRUp β $0