Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$523.68

Combined PnL

-$4.85

Down

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$23.68

Total Shares24

Combined PnL+$3.35

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares20

Combined PnL-$8.2

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	54% 4162-3504 (7666)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 94.5¢	$11.34	$12	+$0.66	42% 2048-2798 (4846)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 57¢	$28.15	—	-$8.15	58% 3986-2906 (6892)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 44¢	$2.06	$4.68	+$2.62	60% 4192-2848 (7040)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$6.93	$7	+$0.07	50% 2795-2794 (5589)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1471-2611 (4082)