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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 30%

Total Value

$572

Combined PnL

-$3.43

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 10 top traders (30%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$572

Total Shares572

Combined PnL+$8.26

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares153

Combined PnL-$11.69

Up — 30%Down — 70%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 51.8¢	$542.72	$500	-$2.8	54% 4094-3445 (7539)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$53.16	$62	+$11.36	58% 3966-2891 (6857)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$3.75	—	-$3.75	49% 2434-2485 (4919)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 80¢	$11.4	$10	-$0.3	60% 4136-2815 (6951)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	51% 106-102 (208)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$0.75	—	-$0.75	50% 1714-1745 (3459)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 22¢	$1.1	—	-$1.1	48% 2474-2726 (5200)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 6.3¢	$4.96	—	-$4.96	42% 2015-2741 (4756)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1455-2580 (4035)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 0.2¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	49% 3552-3629 (7181)

Invested

$542.72

Value

$500

PnL

-$2.8

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$53.16

Value

$62

PnL

+$11.36

Record

58%

3966-2891 (6857)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$3.75

Value

—

PnL

-$3.75

Record

49%

2434-2485 (4919)

Invested

$11.4

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.3

Record

60%

4136-2815 (6951)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

51%

106-102 (208)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.75

Value

—

PnL

-$0.75

Record

50%

1714-1745 (3459)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$1.1

Value

—

PnL

-$1.1

Record

48%

2474-2726 (5200)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$4.96

Value

—

PnL

-$4.96

Record

42%

2015-2741 (4756)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1455-2580 (4035)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 10 top traders (30%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x665bc006...06af4e

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794747600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $62

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $10

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

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