Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 57%
$1.2K
$233.4
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $512.92 | $494.99 | -$2.75 | 54% 3980-3330 (7310) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 58.2¢ | $356.48 | $612 | +$255.52 | 42% 1925-2669 (4594) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $30.91 | $41.33 | +$10.42 | 50% 3495-3507 (7002) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.6¢ | $25.81 | — | -$25.81 | 58% 3933-2861 (6794) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 98% 4234-88 (4322) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 50% 1679-1712 (3391) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 60% 4054-2741 (6795) |
Invested
$512.92
Value
$494.99
PnL
-$2.75
Record
54%
3980-3330 (7310)
Invested
$356.48
Value
$612
PnL
+$255.52
Record
42%
1925-2669 (4594)
Invested
$30.91
Value
$41.33
PnL
+$10.42
Record
50%
3495-3507 (7002)
Invested
$25.81
Value
—
PnL
-$25.81
Record
58%
3933-2861 (6794)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
4234-88 (4322)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
50%
1679-1712 (3391)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
60%
4054-2741 (6795)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down — $494.99
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $612
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $41.33
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $5
cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0