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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$24.2

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$1.1K

Total Shares1,055

Combined PnL+$25.42

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares18

Combined PnL-$1.22

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$873.18	$882	+$8.82	98% 4191-88 (4279)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.3¢	$522.67	$493.91	-$7.12	54% 3939-3307 (7246)
└ Up leg	Upavg 51¢	$252.07	$493.91	+$247.08
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.3¢	$252.26	—	-$254.2
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 90.9¢	$61.93	$59.16	-$2.78	50% 3476-3482 (6958)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$29.97	$30	+$0.03	52% 1501-1359 (2860)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 78.2¢	$32.02	$34	+$1.98	58% 3913-2854 (6767)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 80.7¢	$24.13	$27.73	+$3.6	60% 4018-2726 (6744)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 37.5¢	$8.24	$22	+$13.76	42% 1920-2608 (4528)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	44% 2289-2937 (5226)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 9.3¢	$1.17	—	-$1.17	50% 2671-2654 (5325)

Invested

$873.18

Value

$882

PnL

+$8.82

Record

98%

4191-88 (4279)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$522.67

Value

$493.91

PnL

-$7.12

Record

54%

3939-3307 (7246)

Both legs:

Up$252.0751¢+$247.08

Down$252.2650.3¢-$254.2

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$61.93

Value

$59.16

PnL

-$2.78

Record

50%

3476-3482 (6958)

Invested

$29.97

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.03

Record

52%

1501-1359 (2860)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$32.02

Value

$34

PnL

+$1.98

Record

58%

3913-2854 (6767)

Invested

$24.13

Value

$27.73

PnL

+$3.6

Record

60%

4018-2726 (6744)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$8.24

Value

$22

PnL

+$13.76

Record

42%

1920-2608 (4528)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

44%

2289-2937 (5226)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.17

Value

—

PnL

-$1.17

Record

50%

2671-2654 (5325)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x25a66aa7...ffda6a

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794729600

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $882

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $59.16

0x50f7

Up — $30

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $34

aaa221

Up — $27.73

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $22

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

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