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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 92%

Total Value

$885.79

Combined PnL

$111.48

Smart Money Signal

Down

11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down11 traders

Total Value$885.79

Total Shares886

Combined PnL+$117.89

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares35

Combined PnL-$6.41

Down — 92%Up — 8%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.9¢	$512.3	$505	+$5.94	54% 3871-3256 (7127)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 62.4¢	$117.66	$188.54	+$70.88	58% 3890-2826 (6716)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 44.6¢	$76.02	$85.98	+$9.97	50% 3424-3398 (6822)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$28.43	$28.46	+$0.03	52% 1476-1351 (2827)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 63.1¢	$21.09	$31.4	+$11.72	60% 3969-2697 (6666)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 49.5¢	$9.9	$20	+$10.1	47% 2261-2512 (4773)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 96¢	$5.76	$6	+$0.24	50% 2621-2631 (5252)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$3.15	$3.18	+$0.03	98% 4120-86 (4206)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 51.1¢	$3.69	$7.22	+$3.53	47% 2362-2616 (4978)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 45¢	$2.25	$5	+$2.75	48% 2352-2543 (4895)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100	Downavg 46¢	$2.3	$5	+$2.7	51% 100-97 (197)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 18.3¢	$6.41	—	-$6.41	43% 1894-2540 (4434)

Invested

$512.3

Value

$505

PnL

+$5.94

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$117.66

Value

$188.54

PnL

+$70.88

Record

58%

3890-2826 (6716)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$76.02

Value

$85.98

PnL

+$9.97

Record

50%

3424-3398 (6822)

Invested

$28.43

Value

$28.46

PnL

+$0.03

Record

52%

1476-1351 (2827)

Invested

$21.09

Value

$31.4

PnL

+$11.72

Record

60%

3969-2697 (6666)

Invested

$9.9

Value

$20

PnL

+$10.1

Record

47%

2261-2512 (4773)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$5.76

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.24

Record

50%

2621-2631 (5252)

Invested

$3.15

Value

$3.18

PnL

+$0.03

Record

98%

4120-86 (4206)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$3.69

Value

$7.22

PnL

+$3.53

Record

47%

2362-2616 (4978)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.25

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.75

Record

48%

2352-2543 (4895)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100

Invested

$2.3

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.7

Record

51%

100-97 (197)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$6.41

Value

—

PnL

-$6.41

Record

43%

1894-2540 (4434)

Smart Money Signal

Down

11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xac11c4e5...240fb0

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794721500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $505

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $188.54

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $85.98

0x50f7

Down — $28.46

aaa221

Down — $31.4

ohioism

Down — $20

dvasdkasodk

Down — $6

hoodquant

Down — $3.18

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $7.22

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $5

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