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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Down 50%

Total Value

$562.47

Combined PnL

-$3.6

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$562.47

Total Shares562

Combined PnL+$12.78

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares131

Combined PnL-$16.38

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 51¢	$518.26	$502.64	+$2.19	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 79¢	$39.48	$49.97	+$10.49	47% 2348-2603 (4951)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 3.5¢	$0.35	—	-$0.35	50% 1655-1677 (3332)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	50% 2598-2611 (5209)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.81	$4.86	+$0.05	98% 4086-84 (4170)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$10.58	—	-$0.25	60% 3949-2687 (6636)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 15.7¢	$14.38	—	-$14.38	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 5¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	58% 3865-2801 (6666)

Invested

$518.26

Value

$502.64

PnL

+$2.19

Record

54%

3849-3219 (7068)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$39.48

Value

$49.97

PnL

+$10.49

Record

47%

2348-2603 (4951)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.35

Value

—

PnL

-$0.35

Record

50%

1655-1677 (3332)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

50%

2598-2611 (5209)

Invested

$4.81

Value

$4.86

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

4086-84 (4170)

Invested

$10.58

Value

—

PnL

-$0.25

Record

60%

3949-2687 (6636)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$14.38

Value

—

PnL

-$14.38

Record

50%

3397-3361 (6758)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

58%

3865-2801 (6666)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x61db4f87...2c40b9

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794718800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $502.64

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $49.97

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5

hoodquant

Down — $4.86

aaa221

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

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