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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Down 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$595.99

Combined PnL

$2.82

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$108

Total Shares108

Combined PnL+$18.43

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares117

Combined PnL-$15.61

Down — 55%Up — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 51.1¢	$534.58	$487.99	-$8.34	54% 3808-3199 (7007)
└ Down leg	Downavg 51.1¢	$249.16	$487.99	+$245.22
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.3¢	$244.35	—	-$253.56
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 54¢	$28.52	$48	+$19.48	58% 3808-2767 (6575)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 95.8¢	$34.31	$25	-$9.31	50% 1651-1664 (3315)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 87.3¢	$15.72	$18	+$2.28	60% 3927-2670 (6597)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100	Downavg 71.2¢	$4.27	$6	+$1.73	50% 97-96 (193)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 69¢	$3.81	$5	+$1.19	36% 1409-2482 (3891)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 49¢	$2.94	$6	+$3.06	43% 1865-2503 (4368)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 11¢	$1.21	—	-$1.21	48% 2317-2509 (4826)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 13.1¢	$2.52	—	-$2.52	50% 2579-2590 (5169)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 14¢	$7.35	—	-$7.35	50% 3372-3320 (6692)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 10.1¢	$2.93	—	-$2.93	44% 2227-2869 (5096)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 32¢	$1.6	—	-$1.6	47% 2327-2591 (4918)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$534.58

Value

$487.99

PnL

-$8.34

Record

54%

3808-3199 (7007)

Both legs:

Down$249.1651.1¢+$245.22

Up$244.3549.3¢-$253.56

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$28.52

Value

$48

PnL

+$19.48

Record

58%

3808-2767 (6575)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$34.31

Value

$25

PnL

-$9.31

Record

50%

1651-1664 (3315)

Invested

$15.72

Value

$18

PnL

+$2.28

Record

60%

3927-2670 (6597)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100

Invested

$4.27

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.73

Record

50%

97-96 (193)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$3.81

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.19

Record

36%

1409-2482 (3891)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$2.94

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.06

Record

43%

1865-2503 (4368)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$1.21

Value

—

PnL

-$1.21

Record

48%

2317-2509 (4826)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$2.52

Value

—

PnL

-$2.52

Record

50%

2579-2590 (5169)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$7.35

Value

—

PnL

-$7.35

Record

50%

3372-3320 (6692)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$2.93

Value

—

PnL

-$2.93

Record

44%

2227-2869 (5096)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$1.6

Value

—

PnL

-$1.6

Record

47%

2327-2591 (4918)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc4d95635...d76d38

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794714300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $48

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $25

aaa221

Down — $18

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $6

antsaslyku

Down — $5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

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