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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$908.29

Combined PnL

-$40.76

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$863.01

Total Shares863

Combined PnL+$33.14

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares191

Combined PnL-$73.89

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.5¢	$510.45	$496	+$6.47	54% 3763-3169 (6932)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 92.3¢	$285.86	$309.83	+$23.97	58% 3775-2737 (6512)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 39.7¢	$73.84	—	-$73.84	42% 1826-2483 (4309)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 6.7¢	$63.05	$45.28	-$17.77	51% 3341-3263 (6604)
└ Down leg	Downavg 6.7¢	$35.01	—	-$35.01
└ Up leg	Upavg 61.9¢	$28.04	$45.28	+$17.24
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 71¢	$29.78	$27.11	+$5.51	60% 3891-2648 (6539)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 83.6¢	$14.35	$15.07	+$0.72	44% 2198-2839 (5037)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$9.99	$10	+$0.01	52% 1448-1342 (2790)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 96¢	$8.55	$5	-$3.55	50% 2549-2566 (5115)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1405-2441 (3846)

Invested

$510.45

Value

$496

PnL

+$6.47

Record

54%

3763-3169 (6932)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$285.86

Value

$309.83

PnL

+$23.97

Record

58%

3775-2737 (6512)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$73.84

Value

—

PnL

-$73.84

Record

42%

1826-2483 (4309)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100

Invested

$63.05

Value

$45.28

PnL

-$17.77

Record

51%

3341-3263 (6604)

Both legs:

Down$35.016.7¢-$35.01

Up$28.0461.9¢+$17.24

Invested

$29.78

Value

$27.11

PnL

+$5.51

Record

60%

3891-2648 (6539)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$14.35

Value

$15.07

PnL

+$0.72

Record

44%

2198-2839 (5037)

Invested

$9.99

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.01

Record

52%

1448-1342 (2790)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$8.55

Value

$5

PnL

-$3.55

Record

50%

2549-2566 (5115)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1405-2441 (3846)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3d6129d0...7ead09

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794712500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $496

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $309.83

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Arbitrage — excluded

aaa221

Up — $27.11

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $15.07

0x50f7

Up — $10

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5

antsaslyku

Down — $0

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