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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 25%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$680.64

Combined PnL

-$119.74

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 12 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$190.64
Total Shares191
Combined PnL-$13.62
Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares188
Combined PnL-$106.12
Up — 25%Down — 75%
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$519.95

Value

$490

PnL

-$12.18

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

Both legs:

Down$251.9750.2¢-$255.98
Up$247.7950.6¢+$243.8
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up

Invested

$185.3

Value

$162

PnL

-$23.3

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$72.42

Value

—

PnL

-$72.42

Record

58%

3760-2730 (6490)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$8.56

Value

$13.64

PnL

+$6.08

Record

59%

3865-2632 (6497)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$11.4

Value

$15

PnL

+$3.6

Record

70%

1672-705 (2377)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.98

Value

—

PnL

-$10.98

Record

50%

1618-1648 (3266)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

42%

1805-2456 (4261)

0X
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

51%

96-92 (188)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.95

Value

—

PnL

-$2.95

Record

49%

2374-2443 (4817)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.37

Value

—

PnL

-$3.37

Record

37%

1401-2422 (3823)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.62

Value

—

PnL

-$9.62

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.5

Record

47%

2185-2435 (4620)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.25

Value

—

PnL

-$1.25

Record

48%

2261-2474 (4735)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xa62e54d3...1214ec
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794707100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$12.18
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $162

-$23.3
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

CTR

Down — $0

-$72.42
AA

aaa221

Up — $13.64

+$6.08

BoneOhio

Up — $15

+$3.6

cryingbabydicer87

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.98
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.32
0X

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.7
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.95
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.37
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