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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Down 71%

Total Value

$17.55

Combined PnL

-$540.71

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares681

Combined PnL-$555.94

Up2 traders

Total Value$17.55

Total Shares18

Combined PnL+$15.23

Down — 71%Up — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50.7¢	$511.76	—	-$501.23	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 14.4¢	$20.91	—	-$20.91	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 12¢	$1.44	$12	+$10.56	42% 1736-2377 (4113)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 94¢	$5.64	—	-$5.64	59% 3783-2578 (6361)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 48.5¢	$28.12	—	-$28.12	58% 3692-2676 (6368)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 15.9¢	$0.88	$5.55	+$4.67	50% 1577-1608 (3185)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.04	—	-$0.04	50% 91-91 (182)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$511.76

Value

—

PnL

-$501.23

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$20.91

Value

—

PnL

-$20.91

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.44

Value

$12

PnL

+$10.56

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

Invested

$5.64

Value

—

PnL

-$5.64

Record

59%

3783-2578 (6361)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$28.12

Value

—

PnL

-$28.12

Record

58%

3692-2676 (6368)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$0.88

Value

$5.55

PnL

+$4.67

Record

50%

1577-1608 (3185)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100

Invested

$0.04

Value

—

PnL

-$0.04

Record

50%

91-91 (182)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2002735a...3e2a65

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794699000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $12

aaa221

Down — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $5.55

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $0

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