Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 43%
$119.6
-$522.82
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.8¢ | $528.69 | — | -$504.19 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $48.11 | $48.6 | +$0.49 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 11.6¢ | $45.33 | — | -$45.33 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 29.5¢ | $14.15 | $40 | +$25.85 | 58% 3692-2676 (6368) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $18.81 | $19 | +$0.19 | 50% 2462-2507 (4969) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 14.5¢ | $6.41 | — | -$6.41 | 50% 1577-1608 (3185) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 45.2¢ | $5.42 | $12 | +$6.58 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
Invested
$528.69
Value
—
PnL
-$504.19
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Invested
$48.11
Value
$48.6
PnL
+$0.49
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$45.33
Value
—
PnL
-$45.33
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$14.15
Value
$40
PnL
+$25.85
Record
58%
3692-2676 (6368)
Invested
$18.81
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.19
Record
50%
2462-2507 (4969)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$6.41
Value
—
PnL
-$6.41
Record
50%
1577-1608 (3185)
Invested
$5.42
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.58
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $48.6
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $40
dvasdkasodk
Up — $19
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $12