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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

Total Value

$830.33

Combined PnL

$55.65

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$830.33

Total Shares830

Combined PnL+$113.99

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares325

Combined PnL-$58.34

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 51.3¢	$525.56	$494.93	+$8.07	54% 3579-3041 (6620)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 69.8¢	$183.45	$253.49	+$70.04	51% 3214-3142 (6356)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 19.8¢	$57.52	—	-$57.52	42% 1711-2331 (4042)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 44.5¢	$17.8	$40	+$22.2	58% 3662-2648 (6310)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 80.6¢	$44.41	$31.91	+$10.59	59% 3751-2555 (6306)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 2.6¢	$0.65	—	-$0.65	44% 2109-2719 (4828)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	50% 2442-2474 (4916)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100	Downavg 39¢	$1.95	$5	+$3.05	50% 89-89 (178)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1368-2322 (3690)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$0.12	—	-$0.12	49% 1554-1593 (3147)

Invested

$525.56

Value

$494.93

PnL

+$8.07

Record

54%

3579-3041 (6620)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$183.45

Value

$253.49

PnL

+$70.04

Record

51%

3214-3142 (6356)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$57.52

Value

—

PnL

-$57.52

Record

42%

1711-2331 (4042)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$17.8

Value

$40

PnL

+$22.2

Record

58%

3662-2648 (6310)

Invested

$44.41

Value

$31.91

PnL

+$10.59

Record

59%

3751-2555 (6306)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.65

Value

—

PnL

-$0.65

Record

44%

2109-2719 (4828)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

50%

2442-2474 (4916)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100

Invested

$1.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.05

Record

50%

89-89 (178)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1368-2322 (3690)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.12

Value

—

PnL

-$0.12

Record

49%

1554-1593 (3147)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x985afef1...9e9202

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794692700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $494.93

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $253.49

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $40

aaa221

Down — $31.91

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $5

antsaslyku

Up — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

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