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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Down 73%

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$167.6

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$1.1K

Total Shares1,120

Combined PnL+$171.12

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares17

Combined PnL-$3.52

Down — 73%Up — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.1¢	$505.6	$503.51	+$9.06	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 74.1¢	$348.45	$451.07	+$102.62	51% 3203-3131 (6334)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 58.3¢	$46.21	$46.55	+$18.89	58% 3639-2637 (6276)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 54.9¢	$34.85	$63.42	+$28.57	49% 1545-1582 (3127)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$23.24	$23.47	+$0.23	98% 3774-79 (3853)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 84.5¢	$15.21	$12	+$1.74	42% 1702-2303 (4005)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 51¢	$7.65	$15	+$7.35	48% 2150-2369 (4519)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 47¢	$2.35	$5	+$2.65	48% 1266-1353 (2619)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 28.6¢	$2.02	—	-$2.02	59% 3720-2542 (6262)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 29¢	$1.45	—	-$1.45	47% 2089-2333 (4422)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1362-2297 (3659)

Invested

$505.6

Value

$503.51

PnL

+$9.06

Record

54%

3546-3013 (6559)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$348.45

Value

$451.07

PnL

+$102.62

Record

51%

3203-3131 (6334)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$46.21

Value

$46.55

PnL

+$18.89

Record

58%

3639-2637 (6276)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$34.85

Value

$63.42

PnL

+$28.57

Record

49%

1545-1582 (3127)

Invested

$23.24

Value

$23.47

PnL

+$0.23

Record

98%

3774-79 (3853)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$15.21

Value

$12

PnL

+$1.74

Record

42%

1702-2303 (4005)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$7.65

Value

$15

PnL

+$7.35

Record

48%

2150-2369 (4519)

Invested

$2.35

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.65

Record

48%

1266-1353 (2619)

Invested

$2.02

Value

—

PnL

-$2.02

Record

59%

3720-2542 (6262)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.45

Value

—

PnL

-$1.45

Record

47%

2089-2333 (4422)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1362-2297 (3659)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3fd776c7...b3ecb3

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794690900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $503.51

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $451.07

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $46.55

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $63.42

hoodquant

Down — $23.47

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $12

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $15

PBot-5

Down — $5

aaa221

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

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