Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 86%
$912.61
$184.96
Smart Money Signal
12 of 14 top traders (86%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $515.25 | $499.28 | +$2.27 | 54% 3546-3013 (6559) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $123.75 | $125 | +$1.25 | 98% 3774-79 (3853) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 41.3¢ | $59.47 | $143.89 | +$84.42 | 58% 3639-2637 (6276) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 70.1¢ | $112.33 | $43.48 | +$45 | 51% 3203-3131 (6334) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 48.2¢ | $10.67 | $22.13 | +$11.46 | 49% 1545-1582 (3127) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $10.5 | $25.61 | +$15.11 | 48% 1266-1353 (2619) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $6 | $15 | +$9 | 48% 2150-2369 (4519) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $8.18 | $18.18 | +$10 | 49% 2276-2326 (4602) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $4.09 | $6 | +$1.91 | 42% 1702-2303 (4005) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $2.4 | $6 | +$3.6 | 47% 2089-2333 (4422) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $2.52 | $6 | +$3.48 | 44% 2099-2693 (4792) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 61.6¢ | $3.48 | — | -$3.48 | 59% 3720-2542 (6262) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $1.04 | $2.04 | +$1 | 50% 89-88 (177) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1362-2297 (3659) |
Invested
$515.25
Value
$499.28
PnL
+$2.27
Record
54%
3546-3013 (6559)
Invested
$123.75
Value
$125
PnL
+$1.25
Record
98%
3774-79 (3853)
Invested
$59.47
Value
$143.89
PnL
+$84.42
Record
58%
3639-2637 (6276)
Invested
$112.33
Value
$43.48
PnL
+$45
Record
51%
3203-3131 (6334)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$10.67
Value
$22.13
PnL
+$11.46
Record
49%
1545-1582 (3127)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$25.61
PnL
+$15.11
Record
48%
1266-1353 (2619)
Invested
$6
Value
$15
PnL
+$9
Record
48%
2150-2369 (4519)
Invested
$8.18
Value
$18.18
PnL
+$10
Record
49%
2276-2326 (4602)
Invested
$4.09
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.91
Record
42%
1702-2303 (4005)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.6
Record
47%
2089-2333 (4422)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.52
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.48
Record
44%
2099-2693 (4792)
Invested
$3.48
Value
—
PnL
-$3.48
Record
59%
3720-2542 (6262)
Invested
$1.04
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
89-88 (177)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1362-2297 (3659)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down — $499.28
hoodquant
Down — $125
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $143.89
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $43.48
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $22.13
PBot-5
Down — $25.61
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $15
uninformedfloww
Down — $18.18
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $6
ohioism
Down — $6