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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 89%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$698.82

Combined PnL

$4.49

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$199.03

Total Shares199

Combined PnL+$57.3

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares201

Combined PnL-$52.81

Down — 89%Up — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.6¢	$515.06	$499.79	+$1.19	54% 3514-2992 (6506)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.6¢	$253.03	$499.79	+$250.59
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$248.8	—	-$249.4
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 66.2¢	$64.95	$98.05	+$33.1	50% 2267-2294 (4561)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 52.9¢	$27.1	$42	+$14.9	58% 3629-2629 (6258)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 77.5¢	$23.25	$30	+$6.75	49% 1530-1579 (3109)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 87¢	$8.66	$8	-$0.66	50% 2409-2440 (4849)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 75¢	$10.88	$9.58	+$1.83	59% 3698-2531 (6229)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	98% 3730-79 (3809)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 75¢	$3.75	$5	+$1.25	48% 2176-2405 (4581)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 87¢	$1.32	$1.4	+$0.08	37% 1353-2279 (3632)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 26.2¢	$52.81	—	-$52.81	42% 1686-2284 (3970)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$515.06

Value

$499.79

PnL

+$1.19

Record

54%

3514-2992 (6506)

Both legs:

Down$253.0350.6¢+$250.59

Up$248.850¢-$249.4

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$64.95

Value

$98.05

PnL

+$33.1

Record

50%

2267-2294 (4561)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$27.1

Value

$42

PnL

+$14.9

Record

58%

3629-2629 (6258)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$23.25

Value

$30

PnL

+$6.75

Record

49%

1530-1579 (3109)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$8.66

Value

$8

PnL

-$0.66

Record

50%

2409-2440 (4849)

Invested

$10.88

Value

$9.58

PnL

+$1.83

Record

59%

3698-2531 (6229)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

3730-79 (3809)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$3.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.25

Record

48%

2176-2405 (4581)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$1.32

Value

$1.4

PnL

+$0.08

Record

37%

1353-2279 (3632)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$52.81

Value

—

PnL

-$52.81

Record

42%

1686-2284 (3970)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x85561335...cbc72b

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794687300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Down — $98.05

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $42

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $30

dvasdkasodk

Down — $8

aaa221

Down — $9.58

hoodquant

Down — $5

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $5

antsaslyku

Down — $1.4

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

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