Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 55%

Total Value

$975.69

Combined PnL

-$173.19

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$975.69

Total Shares976

Combined PnL-$17.68

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares353

Combined PnL-$155.51

Down — 58%Up — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 49.7¢	$526.75	$492.4	+$3.96	54% 3484-2956 (6440)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 66.7¢	$443.64	$406.18	-$37.46	51% 3138-3071 (6209)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 39.9¢	$78.09	—	-$78.09	50% 2249-2257 (4506)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 88¢	$30.45	$31	+$0.55	50% 2392-2413 (4805)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Upavg 42.6¢	$104.2	—	-$64.2	58% 3619-2623 (6242)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 49¢	$11.44	$15	+$3.56	49% 1520-1565 (3085)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 49.1¢	$12.83	$26.11	+$13.28	37% 1347-2255 (3602)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$4.5	—	-$4.5	47% 2060-2289 (4349)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$4.29	—	-$4.29	42% 1669-2262 (3931)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100	Downavg 58¢	$2.9	$5	+$2.1	50% 87-87 (174)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 22.1¢	$4.42	—	-$4.42	44% 2059-2654 (4713)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 91¢	$10.11	$0	-$3.67	59% 3675-2516 (6191)

Invested

$526.75

Value

$492.4

PnL

+$3.96

Record

54%

3484-2956 (6440)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$443.64

Value

$406.18

PnL

-$37.46

Record

51%

3138-3071 (6209)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$78.09

Value

—

PnL

-$78.09

Record

50%

2249-2257 (4506)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$30.45

Value

$31

PnL

+$0.55

Record

50%

2392-2413 (4805)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR

Invested

$104.2

Value

—

PnL

-$64.2

Record

58%

3619-2623 (6242)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$11.44

Value

$15

PnL

+$3.56

Record

49%

1520-1565 (3085)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$12.83

Value

$26.11

PnL

+$13.28

Record

37%

1347-2255 (3602)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$4.5

Value

—

PnL

-$4.5

Record

47%

2060-2289 (4349)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$4.29

Value

—

PnL

-$4.29

Record

42%

1669-2262 (3931)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100

Invested

$2.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.1

Record

50%

87-87 (174)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$4.42

Value

—

PnL

-$4.42

Record

44%

2059-2654 (4713)

Invested

$10.11

Value

$0

PnL

-$3.67

Record

59%

3675-2516 (6191)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xb11b8616...1f62b9

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794681900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $492.4

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $406.18

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $31

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $15

antsaslyku

Down — $26.11

ohioism

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $5

Trade on Polymarket