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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 40%

Total Value

$597

Combined PnL

$7.46

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$597

Total Shares597

Combined PnL+$29.37

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares89

Combined PnL-$21.91

Down — 40%Up — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 51.3¢	$527.41	$490.92	+$14.03	54% 3449-2937 (6386)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 80¢	$67.82	$80	+$12.18	51% 3103-3041 (6144)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 54¢	$22.01	$24.99	+$2.99	50% 2231-2229 (4460)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 12.1¢	$4.25	—	-$4.25	49% 1497-1559 (3056)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 28.2¢	$4.8	—	-$4.8	58% 3610-2614 (6224)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 11.1¢	$1.04	—	-$1.04	50% 2368-2397 (4765)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 84¢	$0.92	$1.09	+$0.17	59% 3649-2497 (6146)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 14¢	$0.16	—	-$0.16	47% 2092-2317 (4409)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 44.5¢	$8.9	—	-$8.9	47% 2042-2277 (4319)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$2.76	—	-$2.76	47% 2135-2370 (4505)

Invested

$527.41

Value

$490.92

PnL

+$14.03

Record

54%

3449-2937 (6386)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$67.82

Value

$80

PnL

+$12.18

Record

51%

3103-3041 (6144)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$22.01

Value

$24.99

PnL

+$2.99

Record

50%

2231-2229 (4460)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$4.25

Value

—

PnL

-$4.25

Record

49%

1497-1559 (3056)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

—

PnL

-$4.8

Record

58%

3610-2614 (6224)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.04

Value

—

PnL

-$1.04

Record

50%

2368-2397 (4765)

Invested

$0.92

Value

$1.09

PnL

+$0.17

Record

59%

3649-2497 (6146)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$0.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.16

Record

47%

2092-2317 (4409)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$8.9

Value

—

PnL

-$8.9

Record

47%

2042-2277 (4319)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.76

Value

—

PnL

-$2.76

Record

47%

2135-2370 (4505)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd1c47bf3...4db037

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794680100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $490.92

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $80

uninformedfloww

Down — $24.99

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

aaa221

Down — $1.09

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

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