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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 25%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$644.58

Combined PnL

-$56.39

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up2 traders

Total Value$154.58

Total Shares155

Combined PnL-$0.46

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares142

Combined PnL-$55.93

Up — 25%Down — 75%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$518.34	$490	-$6.12	54% 3405-2902 (6307)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.5¢	$242.57	$490	+$245.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$250.93	—	-$251.92
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 72.8¢	$151.07	$142.58	-$8.49	50% 3063-3014 (6077)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 47.8¢	$58.03	—	-$37.99	58% 3596-2603 (6199)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 42¢	$8.61	—	-$8.61	59% 3605-2478 (6083)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 33.1¢	$3.97	$12	+$8.03	42% 1619-2223 (3842)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Downavg 50.5¢	$5.05	—	-$5.05	49% 81-86 (167)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$1.95	—	-$1.95	47% 2103-2356 (4459)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 37¢	$1.85	—	-$1.85	49% 1477-1548 (3025)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.48	—	-$0.48	43% 2013-2620 (4633)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$518.34

Value

$490

PnL

-$6.12

Record

54%

3405-2902 (6307)

Both legs:

Up$242.5749.5¢+$245.8

Down$250.9349.9¢-$251.92

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$151.07

Value

$142.58

PnL

-$8.49

Record

50%

3063-3014 (6077)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$58.03

Value

—

PnL

-$37.99

Record

58%

3596-2603 (6199)

Invested

$8.61

Value

—

PnL

-$8.61

Record

59%

3605-2478 (6083)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.97

Value

$12

PnL

+$8.03

Record

42%

1619-2223 (3842)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100

Invested

$5.05

Value

—

PnL

-$5.05

Record

49%

81-86 (167)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$1.95

Value

—

PnL

-$1.95

Record

47%

2103-2356 (4459)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$1.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.85

Record

49%

1477-1548 (3025)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.48

Value

—

PnL

-$0.48

Record

43%

2013-2620 (4633)

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xafd7e1fe...865200

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794676500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $142.58

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $12

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

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