Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$624.19

Combined PnL

-$5.98

Down

3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$124.2

Total Shares124

Combined PnL+$36.67

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares68

Combined PnL-$42.65

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$504.29	$500	+$0.73	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$249.3	$500	+$250.2
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$249.5	—	-$249.47
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 42¢	$76.03	$106.12	+$30.09	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 58¢	$39.5	—	-$39.5	58% 3585-2599 (6184)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 46¢	$5.56	$12.08	+$6.52	59% 3587-2446 (6033)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$5.94	$6	+$0.06	49% 2315-2365 (4680)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 52.2¢	$3.13	—	-$3.13	42% 1609-2196 (3805)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.02	—	-$0.02	37% 1317-2199 (3516)