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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 100%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

$227.65

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 9 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$788.36

Total Shares788

Combined PnL+$227.65

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$512.9	$502.78	+$6.64	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$251.24	$502.78	+$251.34
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.2¢	$240.88	—	-$244.7
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 63.8¢	$332.57	$383.1	+$52.23	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 42.2¢	$83.96	$159.22	+$95.26	58% 3585-2599 (6184)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Downavg 87.3¢	$92.31	$105.78	+$13.47	42% 1609-2196 (3805)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 49.1¢	$34.39	$69.98	+$35.59	49% 1453-1538 (2991)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100	Downavg 47.3¢	$19.49	$41.21	+$21.72	48% 80-85 (165)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$10.39	$10.49	+$0.1	98% 3543-73 (3616)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 60.4¢	$21.13	$7.57	+$2.68	59% 3587-2446 (6033)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 40¢	$2.4	$6	+$3.6	47% 1998-2233 (4231)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 40¢	$2	$5	+$3	47% 2043-2283 (4326)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$512.9

Value

$502.78

PnL

+$6.64

Record

54%

3373-2881 (6254)

Both legs:

Down$251.2450¢+$251.34

Up$240.8849.2¢-$244.7

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$332.57

Value

$383.1

PnL

+$52.23

Record

50%

3041-2991 (6032)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$83.96

Value

$159.22

PnL

+$95.26

Record

58%

3585-2599 (6184)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$92.31

Value

$105.78

PnL

+$13.47

Record

42%

1609-2196 (3805)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$34.39

Value

$69.98

PnL

+$35.59

Record

49%

1453-1538 (2991)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100

Invested

$19.49

Value

$41.21

PnL

+$21.72

Record

48%

80-85 (165)

Invested

$10.39

Value

$10.49

PnL

+$0.1

Record

98%

3543-73 (3616)

Invested

$21.13

Value

$7.57

PnL

+$2.68

Record

59%

3587-2446 (6033)

Invested

$2.4

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.6

Record

47%

1998-2233 (4231)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2

Value

$5

PnL

+$3

Record

47%

2043-2283 (4326)

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 9 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xab05f5e5...0fde57

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794670200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $383.1

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $159.22

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $105.78

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $69.98

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $41.21

hoodquant

Down — $10.49

aaa221

Down — $7.57

ohioism

Down — $6

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $5

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