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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

-$445.56

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares1,264

Combined PnL+$64.34

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares676

Combined PnL-$509.9

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Downavg 94.8¢	$865.9	$913.5	+$47.6	42% 1545-2147 (3692)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 49.8¢	$510.31	—	-$491.35	54% 3302-2813 (6115)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 87.7¢	$220.77	$251.71	+$30.94	50% 3000-2949 (5949)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 89.5¢	$55.09	$50	-$5.09	50% 2139-2136 (4275)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 92¢	$39.38	$28.35	-$6.64	60% 3539-2389 (5928)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 95¢	$17.67	$15	-$2.67	47% 1969-2182 (4151)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	47% 1989-2244 (4233)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 10.4¢	$15.43	—	-$15.43	58% 3566-2579 (6145)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$1.8	—	-$1.8	44% 1957-2530 (4487)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$1.32	—	-$1.32	47% 2034-2298 (4332)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$865.9

Value

$913.5

PnL

+$47.6

Record

42%

1545-2147 (3692)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$510.31

Value

—

PnL

-$491.35

Record

54%

3302-2813 (6115)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$220.77

Value

$251.71

PnL

+$30.94

Record

50%

3000-2949 (5949)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$55.09

Value

$50

PnL

-$5.09

Record

50%

2139-2136 (4275)

Invested

$39.38

Value

$28.35

PnL

-$6.64

Record

60%

3539-2389 (5928)

Invested

$17.67

Value

$15

PnL

-$2.67

Record

47%

1969-2182 (4151)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.2

Record

47%

1989-2244 (4233)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$15.43

Value

—

PnL

-$15.43

Record

58%

3566-2579 (6145)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

44%

1957-2530 (4487)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

47%

2034-2298 (4332)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1af14d59...3a9a41

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794664800

Traders in this Market

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $913.5

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $251.71

uninformedfloww

Down — $50

aaa221

Down — $28.35

ohioism

Down — $15

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $5

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

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