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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 25%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$914.75

Combined PnL

$124

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up2 traders

Total Value$422.75

Total Shares423

Combined PnL+$202.5

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares238

Combined PnL-$78.51

Up — 25%Down — 75%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.4¢	$538.07	$492	-$3.28	54% 3248-2750 (5998)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.6¢	$243.93	$492	+$249.02
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.4¢	$252.03	—	-$252.3
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 51.9¢	$215.98	$415.75	+$199.77	58% 3554-2561 (6115)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 32.9¢	$8.88	—	-$8.88	42% 1499-2108 (3607)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 33.4¢	$16.7	—	-$16.7	48% 1389-1500 (2889)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$5	—	-$5	37% 1281-2136 (3417)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 61¢	$4.27	$7	+$2.73	60% 3496-2347 (5843)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 7.6¢	$2.5	—	-$2.5	44% 1926-2494 (4420)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 11.2¢	$2.58	—	-$2.58	49% 2245-2302 (4547)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 45.1¢	$42.85	—	-$42.85	50% 2099-2099 (4198)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$538.07

Value

$492

PnL

-$3.28

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

Both legs:

Up$243.9349.6¢+$249.02

Down$252.0349.4¢-$252.3

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$215.98

Value

$415.75

PnL

+$199.77

Record

58%

3554-2561 (6115)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$8.88

Value

—

PnL

-$8.88

Record

42%

1499-2108 (3607)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$16.7

Value

—

PnL

-$16.7

Record

48%

1389-1500 (2889)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$5

Value

—

PnL

-$5

Record

37%

1281-2136 (3417)

Invested

$4.27

Value

$7

PnL

+$2.73

Record

60%

3496-2347 (5843)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$2.5

Value

—

PnL

-$2.5

Record

44%

1926-2494 (4420)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$2.58

Value

—

PnL

-$2.58

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$42.85

Value

—

PnL

-$42.85

Record

50%

2099-2099 (4198)

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x892a8b6c...9cad6d

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794657600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $415.75

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $7

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

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