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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

6

Up 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$806.03

Combined PnL

$23.19

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$234.65

Total Shares235

Combined PnL+$35.68

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares21

Combined PnL-$12.48

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.7¢	$527.18	$496.09	-$6.21	54% 3248-2750 (5998)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.2¢	$243.86	$496.09	+$247.85
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.7¢	$257.25	—	-$254.06
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 81.2¢	$120.88	$75.29	-$45.59	51% 2975-2913 (5888)
└ Up leg	Upavg 81.2¢	$61.17	$75.29	+$14.13
└ Down leg	Downavg 76.3¢	$59.72	—	-$59.72
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$101.34	$101.44	+$0.1	51% 1306-1242 (2548)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$79.69	$80.5	+$0.8	98% 3400-72 (3472)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 40.3¢	$28.58	$46	+$30.11	58% 3554-2561 (6115)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 61.6¢	$9.88	—	-$9.88	60% 3496-2347 (5843)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 30.6¢	$2.05	$6.71	+$4.66	42% 1499-2108 (3607)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$2.6	—	-$2.6	48% 1943-2144 (4087)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$527.18

Value

$496.09

PnL

-$6.21

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

Both legs:

Up$243.8649.2¢+$247.85

Down$257.2550.7¢-$254.06

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100

Invested

$120.88

Value

$75.29

PnL

-$45.59

Record

51%

2975-2913 (5888)

Both legs:

Up$61.1781.2¢+$14.13

Down$59.7276.3¢-$59.72

Invested

$101.34

Value

$101.44

PnL

+$0.1

Record

51%

1306-1242 (2548)

Invested

$79.69

Value

$80.5

PnL

+$0.8

Record

98%

3400-72 (3472)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$28.58

Value

$46

PnL

+$30.11

Record

58%

3554-2561 (6115)

Invested

$9.88

Value

—

PnL

-$9.88

Record

60%

3496-2347 (5843)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$2.05

Value

$6.71

PnL

+$4.66

Record

42%

1499-2108 (3607)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.6

Value

—

PnL

-$2.6

Record

48%

1943-2144 (4087)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x68632447...5ef8f1

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794655800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Arbitrage — excluded

0x50f7

Up — $101.44

hoodquant

Up — $80.5

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $46

aaa221

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6.71

ohioism

Down — $0

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