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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Down 82%

Total Value

$669.38

Combined PnL

$1.86

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$669.38

Total Shares669

Combined PnL+$2.25

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares18

Combined PnL-$0.39

Down — 82%Up — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.5¢	$512.64	$495.24	-$1.94	54% 3222-2710 (5932)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 78.9¢	$96.12	$89.67	-$6.45	51% 2945-2881 (5826)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 79.7¢	$34.02	$42.66	+$8.64	60% 3476-2322 (5798)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$14.98	$15	+$0.02	51% 1297-1233 (2530)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 78¢	$6.95	$5	-$1.95	58% 3542-2552 (6094)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 73¢	$4.99	$6.84	+$1.85	37% 1273-2122 (3395)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 83¢	$4.58	$5.52	+$0.94	50% 2078-2073 (4151)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.41	$4.45	+$0.04	98% 3371-72 (3443)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 14¢	$3.02	—	+$1.43	41% 1475-2082 (3557)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100	Downavg 78¢	$3.9	$5	+$1.1	48% 76-82 (158)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 16.5¢	$1.82	—	-$1.82	47% 1950-2185 (4135)

Invested

$512.64

Value

$495.24

PnL

-$1.94

Record

54%

3222-2710 (5932)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$96.12

Value

$89.67

PnL

-$6.45

Record

51%

2945-2881 (5826)

Invested

$34.02

Value

$42.66

PnL

+$8.64

Record

60%

3476-2322 (5798)

Invested

$14.98

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

51%

1297-1233 (2530)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$6.95

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.95

Record

58%

3542-2552 (6094)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.99

Value

$6.84

PnL

+$1.85

Record

37%

1273-2122 (3395)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$4.58

Value

$5.52

PnL

+$0.94

Record

50%

2078-2073 (4151)

Invested

$4.41

Value

$4.45

PnL

+$0.04

Record

98%

3371-72 (3443)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$3.02

Value

—

PnL

+$1.43

Record

41%

1475-2082 (3557)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100

Invested

$3.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.1

Record

48%

76-82 (158)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$1.82

Value

—

PnL

-$1.82

Record

47%

1950-2185 (4135)

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x120b8cec...76b5fb

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794654000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $495.24

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $89.67

aaa221

Down — $42.66

0x50f7

Down — $15

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $5

antsaslyku

Down — $6.84

uninformedfloww

Down — $5.52

hoodquant

Down — $4.45

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $5

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