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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

6

Up 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$440.6

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,482

Combined PnL+$55.24

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares535

Combined PnL-$495.84

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 96.7¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$44.13	42% 1466-2059 (3525)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.4¢	$511.04	—	-$492.3	54% 3204-2681 (5885)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 90.2¢	$103.87	$113.31	+$9.44	51% 2935-2874 (5809)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100	Upavg 58.1¢	$49.83	$52	+$2.17	58% 3538-2545 (6083)
└ Up leg	Upavg 58.1¢	$30.22	$52	+$21.78
└ Down leg	Downavg 8.2¢	$19.61	—	-$19.61
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 91.7¢	$18.47	$20.14	+$1.66	60% 3454-2312 (5766)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 14¢	$3.5	—	-$3.5	50% 2066-2059 (4125)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$0.04	—	-$0.04	48% 76-82 (158)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$1,309.7

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$44.13

Record

42%

1466-2059 (3525)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$511.04

Value

—

PnL

-$492.3

Record

54%

3204-2681 (5885)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$103.87

Value

$113.31

PnL

+$9.44

Record

51%

2935-2874 (5809)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100

Invested

$49.83

Value

$52

PnL

+$2.17

Record

58%

3538-2545 (6083)

Both legs:

Up$30.2258.1¢+$21.78

Down$19.618.2¢-$19.61

Invested

$18.47

Value

$20.14

PnL

+$1.66

Record

60%

3454-2312 (5766)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$3.5

Value

—

PnL

-$3.5

Record

50%

2066-2059 (4125)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100

Invested

$0.04

Value

—

PnL

-$0.04

Record

48%

76-82 (158)

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfed3c6c7...cf820c

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794649500

Traders in this Market

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $1.3K

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $113.31

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Arbitrage — excluded

aaa221

Up — $20.14

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $0

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