Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$929.16
$9.95
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.8Β’ | $518.34 | $500 | +$0.15 | 54% 3204-2681 (5885) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.8Β’ | $253.99 | $500 | +$249.2 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 48.9Β’ | $247.73 | β | -$249.05 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 88.9Β’ | $254.35 | $256 | +$20.5 | 58% 3538-2545 (6083) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9Β’ | $130.56 | $132 | +$1.44 | 98% 3348-72 (3420) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 74.2Β’ | $29.35 | $18.63 | -$3.6 | 51% 2935-2874 (5809) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73.2Β’ | $16.49 | $22.54 | +$6.05 | 60% 3454-2312 (5766) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 12.7Β’ | $6.35 | β | -$6.35 | 48% 1372-1476 (2848) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 9Β’ | $2.25 | β | -$2.25 | 50% 2066-2059 (4125) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 36Β’ | $4.73 | β | -$4.73 | 38% 1272-2117 (3389) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 10Β’ | $1.1 | β | -$1.1 | 47% 1944-2175 (4119) |
Invested
$518.34
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.15
Record
54%
3204-2681 (5885)
Both legs:
Invested
$254.35
Value
$256
PnL
+$20.5
Record
58%
3538-2545 (6083)
Invested
$130.56
Value
$132
PnL
+$1.44
Record
98%
3348-72 (3420)
Invested
$29.35
Value
$18.63
PnL
-$3.6
Record
51%
2935-2874 (5809)
Invested
$16.49
Value
$22.54
PnL
+$6.05
Record
60%
3454-2312 (5766)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$6.35
Value
β
PnL
-$6.35
Record
48%
1372-1476 (2848)
Invested
$2.25
Value
β
PnL
-$2.25
Record
50%
2066-2059 (4125)
Invested
$4.73
Value
β
PnL
-$4.73
Record
38%
1272-2117 (3389)
Invested
$1.1
Value
β
PnL
-$1.1
Record
47%
1944-2175 (4119)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up β $256
hoodquant
Up β $132
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $18.63
aaa221
Up β $22.54

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0
antsaslyku
CTRDown β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown β $0