Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 43%
$37.88
-$558.21
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.7¢ | $516.17 | — | -$505.76 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $44.35 | $15 | +$3.45 | 58% 3530-2534 (6064) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $4.68 | $12 | +$7.32 | 41% 1439-2039 (3478) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 57.4¢ | $71.77 | — | -$71.77 | 51% 2914-2831 (5745) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.88 | $5.88 | +$5 | 60% 3418-2292 (5710) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.75 | $5 | +$4.25 | 48% 1366-1467 (2833) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 50% 2065-2056 (4121) |
Invested
$516.17
Value
—
PnL
-$505.76
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Invested
$44.35
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.45
Record
58%
3530-2534 (6064)
Invested
$4.68
Value
$12
PnL
+$7.32
Record
41%
1439-2039 (3478)
Invested
$71.77
Value
—
PnL
-$71.77
Record
51%
2914-2831 (5745)
Invested
$0.88
Value
$5.88
PnL
+$5
Record
60%
3418-2292 (5710)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$0.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.25
Record
48%
1366-1467 (2833)
Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
50%
2065-2056 (4121)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $15
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $12
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $5.88
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $5
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0