Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Down 57%

Total Value

$65.25

Combined PnL

-$508.93

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares576

Combined PnL-$524.99

Up3 traders

Total Value$65.25

Total Shares65

Combined PnL+$16.06

Down — 57%Up — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50¢	$506.34	—	-$493.14	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 76¢	$28.82	$35	+$6.18	51% 2884-2810 (5694)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 79.4¢	$14.49	$18.25	+$3.76	60% 3392-2277 (5669)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 49¢	$5.88	$12	+$6.12	41% 1415-2011 (3426)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Downavg 40¢	$2	—	-$2	49% 76-80 (156)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 13¢	$0.65	—	-$0.65	48% 1360-1458 (2818)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 44.2¢	$29.2	—	-$29.2	58% 3514-2517 (6031)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$506.34

Value

—

PnL

-$493.14

Record

55%

3148-2619 (5767)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$28.82

Value

$35

PnL

+$6.18

Record

51%

2884-2810 (5694)

Invested

$14.49

Value

$18.25

PnL

+$3.76

Record

60%

3392-2277 (5669)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$5.88

Value

$12

PnL

+$6.12

Record

41%

1415-2011 (3426)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100

Invested

$2

Value

—

PnL

-$2

Record

49%

76-80 (156)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.65

Value

—

PnL

-$0.65

Record

48%

1360-1458 (2818)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$29.2

Value

—

PnL

-$29.2

Record

58%

3514-2517 (6031)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x0f8918bc...5a7729

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794644100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $35

aaa221

Up — $18.25

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $12

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket