Back to Markets
DownUpUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 40%
Total Value
$36.89
Combined PnL
-$505.58
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares559
Combined PnL-$517.15
Up3 traders
Total Value$36.89
Total Shares37
Combined PnL+$11.56
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $509.95 | — | -$497.85 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 53.4¢ | $17.19 | $23 | +$5.81 | 58% 3514-2517 (6031) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 53.3¢ | $3.37 | $6.32 | +$2.95 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $4.77 | $7.57 | +$2.8 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 33.3¢ | $19.29 | — | -$19.29 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$509.95
Value
—
PnL
-$497.85
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$17.19
Value
$23
PnL
+$5.81
Record
58%
3514-2517 (6031)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$3.37
Value
$6.32
PnL
+$2.95
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$4.77
Value
$7.57
PnL
+$2.8
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$19.29
Value
—
PnL
-$19.29
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xba258fcd...94ceb0
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794643200