Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 33%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$780.7

Combined PnL

-$80.91

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 9 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$286.14

Total Shares286

Combined PnL-$26.24

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares678

Combined PnL-$54.67

Up — 33%Down — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$511.56	$494.56	-$6.35	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.2¢	$248.48	$494.56	+$247.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$254.08	—	-$254.15
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 79.8¢	$174.08	$143.91	-$30.17	51% 2884-2810 (5694)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 89.8¢	$164.84	$141	+$4.16	58% 3514-2517 (6031)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 6.1¢	$40.24	—	-$35.84	41% 1415-2011 (3426)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 18.6¢	$5.78	—	-$5.78	47% 1910-2144 (4054)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$7.8	—	-$7.8	48% 1360-1458 (2818)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$2.3	—	-$2.3	49% 76-80 (156)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	44% 1875-2425 (4300)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 96¢	$1.46	$1.23	-$0.23	60% 3392-2277 (5669)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 32¢	$1.6	—	-$1.6	48% 1893-2072 (3965)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$511.56

Value

$494.56

PnL

-$6.35

Record

55%

3148-2619 (5767)

Both legs:

Up$248.4850.2¢+$247.8

Down$254.0849.9¢-$254.15

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$174.08

Value

$143.91

PnL

-$30.17

Record

51%

2884-2810 (5694)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$164.84

Value

$141

PnL

+$4.16

Record

58%

3514-2517 (6031)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$40.24

Value

—

PnL

-$35.84

Record

41%

1415-2011 (3426)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$5.78

Value

—

PnL

-$5.78

Record

47%

1910-2144 (4054)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$7.8

Value

—

PnL

-$7.8

Record

48%

1360-1458 (2818)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100

Invested

$2.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

49%

76-80 (156)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

44%

1875-2425 (4300)

Invested

$1.46

Value

$1.23

PnL

-$0.23

Record

60%

3392-2277 (5669)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.6

Value

—

PnL

-$1.6

Record

48%

1893-2072 (3965)

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 9 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x92348f2a...597fef

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794642300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $143.91

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $141

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $1.23

ohioism

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket