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DownDownDownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$823.93
Combined PnL
-$129.36
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$823.93
Total Shares824
Combined PnL-$27.09
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,010
Combined PnL-$102.27
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $520.77 | $501 | +$4.32 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 88.6¢ | $239.07 | $185 | -$54.07 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 93.7¢ | $80.62 | $86 | +$5.38 | 58% 3514-2517 (6031) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 66.7¢ | $34.66 | $51.93 | +$17.27 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 10.1¢ | $102.27 | — | -$102.27 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$520.77
Value
$501
PnL
+$4.32
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$239.07
Value
$185
PnL
-$54.07
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$80.62
Value
$86
PnL
+$5.38
Record
58%
3514-2517 (6031)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$34.66
Value
$51.93
PnL
+$17.27
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTRInvested
$102.27
Value
—
PnL
-$102.27
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9cb0c82d...969e01
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794641400