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DownUpDownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$621.88
Combined PnL
-$110.91
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$621.88
Total Shares622
Combined PnL+$38.94
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,045
Combined PnL-$149.85
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $521.35 | $502.35 | +$1.02 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.5¢ | $90.67 | — | -$90.67 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $58 | $65 | +$7 | 58% 3492-2495 (5987) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 43.3¢ | $23.61 | $54.53 | +$30.92 | 60% 3365-2262 (5627) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $59.19 | — | -$59.19 | 41% 1393-1983 (3376) |
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$521.35
Value
$502.35
PnL
+$1.02
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$90.67
Value
—
PnL
-$90.67
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$58
Value
$65
PnL
+$7
Record
58%
3492-2495 (5987)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$23.61
Value
$54.53
PnL
+$30.92
Record
60%
3365-2262 (5627)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$59.19
Value
—
PnL
-$59.19
Record
41%
1393-1983 (3376)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf59892c7...d80263
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794639600