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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

6

Up 33%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$975.26

Combined PnL

$105.58

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 6 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up2 traders

Total Value$479.63

Total Shares480

Combined PnL+$246.4

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares327

Combined PnL-$140.83

Up — 33%Down — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.3¢	$535.28	$495.63	-$12.45	55% 3113-2587 (5700)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.3¢	$256.22	—	-$258.4
└ Up leg	Upavg 51.2¢	$253.6	$495.63	+$245.95
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 55.2¢	$224.87	$398	+$178.13	58% 3492-2495 (5987)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 51.1¢	$38.81	—	-$26.42	60% 3365-2262 (5627)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 22.5¢	$20.16	$81.63	+$68.27	41% 1393-1983 (3376)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 34.2¢	$103.49	—	-$103.49	51% 2869-2774 (5643)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 34.8¢	$8.76	—	-$8.76	48% 1355-1450 (2805)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 36¢	$2.16	—	-$2.16	48% 1870-2057 (3927)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$535.28

Value

$495.63

PnL

-$12.45

Record

55%

3113-2587 (5700)

Both legs:

Down$256.2250.3¢-$258.4

Up$253.651.2¢+$245.95

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$224.87

Value

$398

PnL

+$178.13

Record

58%

3492-2495 (5987)

Invested

$38.81

Value

—

PnL

-$26.42

Record

60%

3365-2262 (5627)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$20.16

Value

$81.63

PnL

+$68.27

Record

41%

1393-1983 (3376)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$103.49

Value

—

PnL

-$103.49

Record

51%

2869-2774 (5643)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$8.76

Value

—

PnL

-$8.76

Record

48%

1355-1450 (2805)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.16

Value

—

PnL

-$2.16

Record

48%

1870-2057 (3927)

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 6 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2c6f6879...c09437

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794638700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $398

aaa221

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $81.63

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

ohioism

Down — $0

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