Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
$905.7
$49.48
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.8¢ | $530.25 | $500.38 | +$2.65 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.3¢ | $241.71 | — | -$248.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.8¢ | $254.23 | $500.38 | +$250.75 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 75.9¢ | $221.51 | $292 | +$70.49 | 58% 3466-2465 (5931) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $127.6 | $100.75 | -$20.25 | 51% 2841-2744 (5585) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 26.5¢ | $5.3 | — | -$5.3 | 48% 1344-1445 (2789) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $4.6 | $6.57 | +$1.97 | 38% 1240-2064 (3304) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 57.1¢ | $3.43 | $6 | +$2.57 | 41% 1381-1964 (3345) |
Invested
$530.25
Value
$500.38
PnL
+$2.65
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Both legs:
Invested
$221.51
Value
$292
PnL
+$70.49
Record
58%
3466-2465 (5931)
Invested
$127.6
Value
$100.75
PnL
-$20.25
Record
51%
2841-2744 (5585)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$5.3
Value
—
PnL
-$5.3
Record
48%
1344-1445 (2789)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$6.57
PnL
+$1.97
Record
38%
1240-2064 (3304)
Invested
$3.43
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.57
Record
41%
1381-1964 (3345)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $292
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $100.75
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
antsaslyku
Up — $6.57
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $6