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UpUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$874.33
Combined PnL
$8.61
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$374.33
Total Shares374
Combined PnL+$16.75
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares94
Combined PnL-$8.14
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $511.89 | $500 | -$4.6 | 55% 2993-2461 (5454) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $252.1 | — | -$252.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.9¢ | $254.7 | $500 | +$247.5 | |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 96.7¢ | $342.78 | $354.33 | +$11.55 | 41% 1300-1898 (3198) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $7.8 | — | -$7.8 | 48% 1309-1403 (2712) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $14.8 | $20 | +$5.2 | 59% 3388-2384 (5772) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.34 | — | -$0.34 | 38% 1212-1995 (3207) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$511.89
Value
$500
PnL
-$4.6
Record
55%
2993-2461 (5454)
Both legs:
Down$252.149.8¢-$252.1
Up$254.750.9¢+$247.5
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Invested
$342.78
Value
$354.33
PnL
+$11.55
Record
41%
1300-1898 (3198)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$7.8
Value
—
PnL
-$7.8
Record
48%
1309-1403 (2712)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$14.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.2
Record
59%
3388-2384 (5772)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.34
Value
—
PnL
-$0.34
Record
38%
1212-1995 (3207)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9faaff01...0d91e7
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794624300