Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$761.88
-$2.78
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50Β’ | $506.56 | $496.16 | +$6.38 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 40.2Β’ | $33.55 | $127.38 | +$93.83 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 10.2Β’ | $13 | $127.38 | +$114.39 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 40.2Β’ | $20.55 | β | -$20.55 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.1Β’ | $73.6 | $75 | +$1.4 | 98% 2839-60 (2899) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $49.95 | $50 | +$0.05 | 50% 1135-1122 (2257) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 88Β’ | $12.33 | β | -$12.33 | 60% 3075-2056 (5131) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 15.3Β’ | $2.04 | $13.33 | +$11.29 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 76Β’ | $3.8 | β | -$3.8 | 59% 3299-2310 (5609) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.9Β’ | $4.98 | β | -$4.98 | 38% 1131-1839 (2970) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $0.8 | β | -$0.8 | 48% 1198-1305 (2503) |
Invested
$506.56
Value
$496.16
PnL
+$6.38
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Invested
$33.55
Value
$127.38
PnL
+$93.83
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Both legs:
Invested
$73.6
Value
$75
PnL
+$1.4
Record
98%
2839-60 (2899)
Invested
$49.95
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.05
Record
50%
1135-1122 (2257)
Invested
$12.33
Value
β
PnL
-$12.33
Record
60%
3075-2056 (5131)
Invested
$2.04
Value
$13.33
PnL
+$11.29
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
Invested
$3.8
Value
β
PnL
-$3.8
Record
59%
3299-2310 (5609)
Invested
$4.98
Value
β
PnL
-$4.98
Record
38%
1131-1839 (2970)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
β
PnL
-$0.8
Record
48%
1198-1305 (2503)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down β $496.16
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded
hoodquant
Down β $75
0x50f7
Down β $50
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $13.33
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0