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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$556.4
Combined PnL
$5.61
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$55
Total Shares55
Combined PnL+$20.7
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares34
Combined PnL-$15.09
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.9¢ | $500.38 | $501.4 | +$2.62 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $250.38 | $501.4 | +$251.02 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245 | — | -$248.4 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 40.2¢ | $13.85 | $25 | +$11.15 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $15.5 | $25 | +$9.5 | 59% 3299-2310 (5609) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $9.5 | — | -$9.5 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 60% 3075-2056 (5131) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$500.38
Value
$501.4
PnL
+$2.62
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Both legs:
Up$250.3849.9¢+$251.02
Down$24550¢-$248.4
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$13.85
Value
$25
PnL
+$11.15
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$15.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$9.5
Record
59%
3299-2310 (5609)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$9.5
Value
—
PnL
-$9.5
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
60%
3075-2056 (5131)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3aac1f17...cf07f5
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794592800