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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$541.27
Combined PnL
-$406.12
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares553
Combined PnL-$508.93
Down3 traders
Total Value$541.27
Total Shares541
Combined PnL+$102.81
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $387.13 | $482.16 | +$95.03 | 38% 771-1268 (2039) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $26.32 | $32.22 | +$5.9 | 51% 1497-1460 (2957) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $26.01 | $26.89 | +$1.88 | 60% 2584-1729 (4313) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.8¢ | $8.93 | — | -$8.93 | 59% 3030-2107 (5137) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Invested
$387.13
Value
$482.16
PnL
+$95.03
Record
38%
771-1268 (2039)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$26.32
Value
$32.22
PnL
+$5.9
Record
51%
1497-1460 (2957)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$26.01
Value
$26.89
PnL
+$1.88
Record
60%
2584-1729 (4313)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$8.93
Value
—
PnL
-$8.93
Record
59%
3030-2107 (5137)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2fedee22...903fc0
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794528900