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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 78%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$654.11

Combined PnL

-$8.48

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$154.11

Total Shares154

Combined PnL+$54.75

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares161

Combined PnL-$63.23

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$505.1	$500	+$2.33	56% 2372-1839 (4211)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$249.68	—	-$247.67
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 57.1¢	$77.07	$120.05	+$42.98	50% 1859-1828 (3687)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 48.5¢	$5.82	$12	+$6.18	38% 657-1093 (1750)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 16.8¢	$0.92	—	-$0.92	46% 1298-1506 (2804)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 64¢	$3.35	$5.23	+$1.88	48% 1515-1649 (3164)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 71¢	$3.59	$5.05	+$1.46	48% 1314-1432 (2746)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 45¢	$2.25	$5	+$2.75	47% 1347-1530 (2877)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 65¢	$9.78	$5.04	-$1.14	60% 2431-1634 (4065)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 63.5¢	$1.1	$1.74	+$0.64	44% 1316-1666 (2982)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 39.9¢	$62.3	—	-$62.3	59% 2959-2052 (5011)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 29¢	$0.01	—	-$0.01	38% 880-1457 (2337)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$505.1

Value

$500

PnL

+$2.33

Record

56%

2372-1839 (4211)

Both legs:

Up$25050¢+$250

Down$249.6850¢-$247.67

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$77.07

Value

$120.05

PnL

+$42.98

Record

50%

1859-1828 (3687)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$5.82

Value

$12

PnL

+$6.18

Record

38%

657-1093 (1750)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$0.92

Value

—

PnL

-$0.92

Record

46%

1298-1506 (2804)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$3.35

Value

$5.23

PnL

+$1.88

Record

48%

1515-1649 (3164)

Invested

$3.59

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$1.46

Record

48%

1314-1432 (2746)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$2.25

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.75

Record

47%

1347-1530 (2877)

Invested

$9.78

Value

$5.04

PnL

-$1.14

Record

60%

2431-1634 (4065)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$1.1

Value

$1.74

PnL

+$0.64

Record

44%

1316-1666 (2982)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$62.3

Value

—

PnL

-$62.3

Record

59%

2959-2052 (5011)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.01

Value

—

PnL

-$0.01

Record

38%

880-1457 (2337)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe8e5901f...c9e578

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794506400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $120.05

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $12

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5.23

ohioism

Up — $5.05

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $5

aaa221

Up — $5.04

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $1.74

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

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