Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Up 86%
$15
-$511.8
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $13.2 | $15 | +$1.8 | 59% 2959-2052 (5011) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.8¢ | $9.83 | — | -$9.83 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 48% 1314-1432 (2746) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 38% 657-1093 (1750) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.9¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 880-1457 (2337) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Invested
$13.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.8
Record
59%
2959-2052 (5011)
Invested
$9.83
Value
—
PnL
-$9.83
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
48%
1314-1432 (2746)
Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
38%
657-1093 (1750)
Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
880-1457 (2337)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $15
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
CTRUp — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp — $0