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Up
G-Penis-Monster<$100DownDownDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 40%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
-$498.66
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares517
Combined PnL-$502.61
Down3 traders
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$3.95
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $4.25 | $5 | +$0.75 | 44% 1249-1571 (2820) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 51% 1741-1694 (3435) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.5 | $5 | +$2.5 | 59% 2924-2024 (4948) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 15.2¢ | $2.61 | — | -$2.61 | 47% 870-993 (1863) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.75
Record
44%
1249-1571 (2820)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
51%
1741-1694 (3435)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.5
Record
59%
2924-2024 (4948)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.61
Value
—
PnL
-$2.61
Record
47%
870-993 (1863)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x74bcb734...a1ea85
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794492000