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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 86%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$612.41

Combined PnL

$12.28

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$567.41

Total Shares567

Combined PnL+$13.43

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares6

Combined PnL-$1.14

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2341-1812 (4153)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$37.22	$45	+$7.78	59% 2906-2005 (4911)
└ Down leg	Downavg 22.1¢	$14.35	—	-$14.35
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.8¢	$22.87	$45	+$22.13
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 79.8¢	$22.14	$27.73	+$5.59	50% 1101-1104 (2205)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 77.8¢	$17.1	$21.99	+$4.89	60% 2210-1484 (3694)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 83.8¢	$5.7	$6.8	+$1.1	47% 783-880 (1663)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	74% 942-328 (1270)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 73¢	$3.65	$5	+$1.35	47% 1200-1358 (2558)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Downavg 14¢	$0.71	—	-$0.71	49% 57-60 (117)
38 38791873984189<$100	Upavg 49¢	$0.43	$0.88	+$0.45	48% 2064-2270 (4334)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$0.44	—	-$0.44	46% 1152-1359 (2511)

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

2341-1812 (4153)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100

Invested

$37.22

Value

$45

PnL

+$7.78

Record

59%

2906-2005 (4911)

Both legs:

Down$14.3522.1¢-$14.35

Up$22.8750.8¢+$22.13

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$22.14

Value

$27.73

PnL

+$5.59

Record

50%

1101-1104 (2205)

Invested

$17.1

Value

$21.99

PnL

+$4.89

Record

60%

2210-1484 (3694)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$5.7

Value

$6.8

PnL

+$1.1

Record

47%

783-880 (1663)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

74%

942-328 (1270)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$3.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.35

Record

47%

1200-1358 (2558)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100

Invested

$0.71

Value

—

PnL

-$0.71

Record

49%

57-60 (117)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$0.43

Value

$0.88

PnL

+$0.45

Record

48%

2064-2270 (4334)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$0.44

Value

—

PnL

-$0.44

Record

46%

1152-1359 (2511)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa7236d3c...c0a5a2

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794477600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Up — $27.73

aaa221

Up — $21.99

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $6.8

BoneOhio

Up — $5

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $5

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $0

38791873984189

Up — $0.88

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

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