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DownUpDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$598.18
Combined PnL
-$34.17
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$598.18
Total Shares598
Combined PnL+$24.67
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares205
Combined PnL-$58.84
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $509.19 | $498.4 | +$2.23 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.8¢ | $58.84 | — | -$58.84 | 59% 2885-1975 (4860) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $46.77 | $59.99 | +$13.22 | 60% 2157-1447 (3604) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 73.7¢ | $25.65 | $34.79 | +$9.14 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 98.6¢ | $4.93 | $5 | +$0.07 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$509.19
Value
$498.4
PnL
+$2.23
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$58.84
Value
—
PnL
-$58.84
Record
59%
2885-1975 (4860)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$46.77
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$13.22
Record
60%
2157-1447 (3604)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$25.65
Value
$34.79
PnL
+$9.14
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$4.93
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.07
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc983e1f1...e7b6d3
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794468600