Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 71%
$112
-$528.72
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $504.8 | — | -$499.32 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $84.59 | $106 | +$21.41 | 51% 1582-1533 (3115) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $35.27 | — | -$35.27 | 47% 1681-1866 (3547) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 50% 977-986 (1963) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $5.46 | $6 | +$0.54 | 60% 2757-1855 (4612) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $6 | — | -$5.97 | 60% 2054-1370 (3424) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 8.8¢ | $6.52 | — | -$6.52 | 38% 560-911 (1471) |
Invested
$504.8
Value
—
PnL
-$499.32
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Invested
$84.59
Value
$106
PnL
+$21.41
Record
51%
1582-1533 (3115)
Invested
$35.27
Value
—
PnL
-$35.27
Record
47%
1681-1866 (3547)
Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
50%
977-986 (1963)
Invested
$5.46
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.54
Record
60%
2757-1855 (4612)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.97
Record
60%
2054-1370 (3424)
Invested
$6.52
Value
—
PnL
-$6.52
Record
38%
560-911 (1471)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $106
38791873984189
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $6
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRDown — $0