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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Up 63%

Total Value

$116.95

Combined PnL

-$465.65

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares615

Combined PnL-$507.14

Down3 traders

Total Value$116.95

Total Shares117

Combined PnL+$41.49

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$508.1	—	-$493.07	57% 2190-1623 (3813)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 68.6¢	$40.6	$59.16	+$18.56	60% 2054-1370 (3424)
38 38791873984189<$100	Downavg 47.3¢	$17.86	$37.79	+$19.93	47% 1681-1866 (3547)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 84¢	$17	$20	+$3	51% 1582-1533 (3115)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.38	—	-$0.38	38% 560-911 (1471)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$0.43	—	-$0.43	50% 977-986 (1963)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.15	—	-$0.15	37% 737-1242 (1979)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 23.9¢	$15.99	—	-$13.12	60% 2757-1855 (4612)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$508.1

Value

—

PnL

-$493.07

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

Invested

$40.6

Value

$59.16

PnL

+$18.56

Record

60%

2054-1370 (3424)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$17.86

Value

$37.79

PnL

+$19.93

Record

47%

1681-1866 (3547)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$17

Value

$20

PnL

+$3

Record

51%

1582-1533 (3115)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.38

Value

—

PnL

-$0.38

Record

38%

560-911 (1471)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$0.43

Value

—

PnL

-$0.43

Record

50%

977-986 (1963)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.15

Value

—

PnL

-$0.15

Record

37%

737-1242 (1979)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$15.99

Value

—

PnL

-$13.12

Record

60%

2757-1855 (4612)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x802e72af...552d17

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794454200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

aaa221

Down — $59.16

38791873984189

Down — $37.79

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $20

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

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