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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 23% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 23%

Total Value

$342.45

Combined PnL

-$401.28

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 13 top traders (23%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares533
Combined PnL-$513.17
Down10 traders
Total Value$342.45
Total Shares342
Combined PnL+$111.89
Up — 23%Down — 77%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$516.06

Value

—

PnL

-$488.84

Record

58%

2058-1520 (3578)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down

Invested

$45.87

Value

$114

PnL

+$68.13

Record

60%

2627-1728 (4355)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$46.5

Value

$60

PnL

+$13.5

Record

46%

569-681 (1250)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Down

Invested

$47.7

Value

$50

PnL

+$2.3

Record

44%

1012-1265 (2277)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$41.07

Value

$41.48

PnL

+$0.41

Record

74%

773-277 (1050)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$19.43

Value

—

PnL

-$19.43

Record

49%

786-802 (1588)

0X
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100
Down

Invested

$10.9

Value

$20

PnL

+$9.1

Record

—

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$14.78

Value

$20.09

PnL

+$6.08

Record

—

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$11.65

Value

$10.22

PnL

-$1.43

Record

50%

149-151 (300)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$2.87

Value

$6.46

PnL

+$3.59

Record

—

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Down

Invested

$5

Value

$10.2

PnL

+$5.2

Record

38%

718-1188 (1906)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$5

Value

$10

PnL

+$5

Record

43%

227-296 (523)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.9

Value

—

PnL

-$4.9

Record

49%

1034-1095 (2129)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4716595e...4c9661
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794453300

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$488.84
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $114

+$68.13
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $60

+$13.5

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $50

+$2.3

BoneOhio

Down — $41.48

+$0.41
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$19.43
0X

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $20

+$9.1
AA

aaa221

Down — $20.09

+$6.08

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $10.22

-$1.43
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $6.46

+$3.59
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