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UpDownDownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$28.72
Combined PnL
-$10.6
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares84
Combined PnL-$16.2
Down3 traders
Total Value$28.72
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$5.6
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.5¢ | $15.76 | — | -$15.76 | 60% 2627-1728 (4355) |
D8 0xd8f1...74a9<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $14.65 | $18.55 | +$3.9 | — |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $6.79 | $7 | +$0.21 | — |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $1.68 | $3.17 | +$1.49 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
5E 0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $0.39 | — | -$0.39 | 50% 149-151 (300) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 718-1188 (1906) |
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$15.76
Value
—
PnL
-$15.76
Record
60%
2627-1728 (4355)
D8
0xd8f1...74a9<$100Invested
$14.65
Value
$18.55
PnL
+$3.9
Record
—
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$6.79
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.21
Record
—
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
$3.17
PnL
+$1.49
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
5E
0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100Invested
$0.39
Value
—
PnL
-$0.39
Record
50%
149-151 (300)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
718-1188 (1906)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x339b3922...bb848a
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794452400