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DownDownUp
BoneOhio<$100DownUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 57%
Total Value
$88
Combined PnL
$3.37
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$88
Total Shares88
Combined PnL+$19.42
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares93
Combined PnL-$16.05
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $43.8 | $73 | +$29.2 | 60% 2617-1724 (4341) |
D8 0xd8f1...74a9<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $15.78 | $10 | -$0.03 | — |
BA 0xba67...4727CTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | — |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $3.95 | $5 | +$1.05 | 73% 753-272 (1025) |
5D 0x5d4a...55d3CTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | — |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 44% 990-1249 (2239) |
5E 0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.9¢ | $8.59 | — | -$8.59 | — |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $19 | — | -$10.8 | 58% 2028-1497 (3525) |
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$43.8
Value
$73
PnL
+$29.2
Record
60%
2617-1724 (4341)
D8
0xd8f1...74a9<$100Invested
$15.78
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.03
Record
—
BA
0xba67...4727CTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
—
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$3.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.05
Record
73%
753-272 (1025)
5D
0x5d4a...55d3CTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
—
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
44%
990-1249 (2239)
5E
0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100Invested
$8.59
Value
—
PnL
-$8.59
Record
—
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$19
Value
—
PnL
-$10.8
Record
58%
2028-1497 (3525)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9d76d3a5...798e4a
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794451500