Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 78%
$37.51
-$12.49
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 60.9¢ | $17.67 | $29 | +$11.33 | 60% 2617-1724 (4341) |
BA 0xba67...4727CTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $5.8 | — | -$5.8 | — |
42 0x424e...263bCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.3¢ | $4.67 | — | -$4.67 | — |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 44% 990-1249 (2239) |
D8 0xd8f1...74a9<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $6.21 | $8.51 | +$2.3 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $16.29 | — | -$6.31 | 58% 2028-1497 (3525) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $0.28 | — | -$0.28 | 49% 767-785 (1552) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 709-1165 (1874) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 48% 1014-1081 (2095) |
Invested
$17.67
Value
$29
PnL
+$11.33
Record
60%
2617-1724 (4341)
Invested
$5.8
Value
—
PnL
-$5.8
Record
—
Invested
$4.67
Value
—
PnL
-$4.67
Record
—
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
44%
990-1249 (2239)
Invested
$6.21
Value
$8.51
PnL
+$2.3
Record
—
Invested
$16.29
Value
—
PnL
-$6.31
Record
58%
2028-1497 (3525)
Invested
$0.28
Value
—
PnL
-$0.28
Record
49%
767-785 (1552)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
709-1165 (1874)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
48%
1014-1081 (2095)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $29
0xba67...4727
CTRDown — $0
0x424e...263b
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
0xd8f1...74a9
Up — $8.51
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
CTRDown — $0